Breanna Stewart
Photo: BDZ Sports · CC BY-SA 4.0 (cropped) · Wikimedia CommonsPictured: Breanna Stewart
Performances

The Dream beat the Liberty 101–98 in Game 2 despite Breanna Stewart’s 35 points

Breanna Stewart posted 35 points in the loss, but the Dream finished with a 3-point win.

Game story

Breanna Stewart could not save the Liberty with 35 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists on 11-of-21 shooting (2-of-4 from three), 11-of-13 at the line in 43 minutes as the Atlanta Dream beat the New York Liberty 101–98 on Wednesday, October 7. Game 2 of the semifinals: the Dream lead the best-of-five series 2–0 and are one win from advancing, while the Liberty now face elimination.

Game Highlights

New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream | FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS | October 7, 2026

Official video · WNBA on YouTube · plays in YouTube’s privacy-enhanced mode when you press play · Watch on YouTube ↗

Who stood out

Breanna Stewart: 35 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists on 11-of-21 shooting (2-of-4 from three), 11-of-13 at the line in 43 minutes, a +2 in her minutes. By the observed shot locations, 2-of-7 in the paint outside the restricted area, 6-of-6 at the rim and 2-of-4 from above the break. She entered averaging 20.6 points this season; this finish was 14.4 above that mark. She had averaged 19.2 over her previous 10, putting this game 15.8 above that recent pace.

Breanna Stewart: Game 2 against her baselines

This game · her last 10 before it · her regular season entering it

Baselines are her regular-season games before this one (PropSports game log). Playoff games are never mixed into them.

PropSports box score (game 401918297) and PropSports game log values as of Oct 7, 2026 payload a0239f77be6a7874

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values shown in this figure
Game 2 · 1 gameLast 10 · 10 GSeason · 44 G
Points3519.220.6
Rebounds117.98.5
Assists63.73.4
Minutes4332.132.9

Breanna Stewart's WinBA Score

No. 9 on the board of Oct 7

79.0WinBA Score
Production percentile 95.4

45% of the score

Win rate 61.4%

25% of the score

Winning-output share 62.4%

20% of the score

Court share 82.3%

10% of the score

WinBA measures the regular season. This board is dated Oct 7 and does not include any playoff game.

PropBetEdge WinBA Score board (winba/1.0.1) values as of Oct 7, 2026 payload 244f83c0169730f6

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen component values plotted in this figure
ComponentValueWeight
Production percentile 95.4 45%
Win rate 61.4% 25%
Winning-output share 62.4% 20%
Court share 82.3% 10%

How it happened

The overtime was the swing — the Dream won it 13–10 — and they led 56–54 at halftime. The game had 17 lead changes; the Dream’s largest lead was 8.

The Dream won it with their starters: the Liberty’s bench outscored theirs, 23–15.

The Dream made 34-84 from the field (40%) and 12-30 from three; the Liberty 35-64 (55%). Turnovers ran 9–17, and points off turnovers 10–28 in the Liberty’s favor — the margin came from shooting, not possession control. Rebounds went 35–36, points in the paint 42–44.

Scoring by quarter

Dream 101, Liberty 98 · Game 2

Margin = Dream points minus Liberty points in each period. The largest margin was the OT (+3).

PropSports box score and linescore (game 401918297) values as of Oct 7, 2026 payload f79eb42a95b8ca4d

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values plotted in this figure (points)
DreamLibertyMargin
Q126260
Q23028+2
Q31920-1
Q41314-1
OT1310+3

Where the game separated

The 5 team stats with the widest gaps

Selected by the size of each difference relative to a typical game-to-game gap for that stat. Descriptive, not a causal breakdown of the margin.

PropSports box score and linescore (game 401918297) values as of Oct 7, 2026 payload 4fd5e8a65a118451

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values shown in this figure
DreamLiberty
Points off turnovers1028
Turnovers917
Field goal %40%55%
Free throw %91%70%
Offensive rebounds115

What it means

A reason to be cautious about carrying this game forward: the Dream gave up more points off turnovers than they scored, 28–10. One game is still one game.

The Dream came into the series as the No. 4 seed and the Liberty as the No. 8; the higher seed held serve.

Next up: Game 3, ATL at NY on Oct 9 (no market capture yet) — and the Liberty allow 86.4 a game, 9th-most of 15. Player props enter the board inside 36 hours of tip.

Semifinals series

Dream lead the series 2–0

Each final game of the best-of-5 series through this one, from the Dream side; the number is the final margin.

PropBetEdge playoff bracket (final scores) values as of Oct 7, 2026 payload 4d462e998bd968a3

Show the numbers in this figure
Game-by-game results shown in this figure
TeamGameResultValue
DreamGame 1 vs NY (92–82)W+10
DreamGame 2 vs NY (101–98)W+3
PropBetEdge Intelligence

Betting relevance

On the spread: DraftKings’ line, had the Dream favored by 2.5; the 3-point margin put the Dream on the right side of the spread.

The 199 combined points went over the 170.5 total.

Breanna Stewart (35 points against 20.6 entering the game and 19.2 over her previous 10) is the line the next prop market has to price.

Markets touched: Spread · Total · Moneyline

Market evidence

Market reference: DraftKings (a single sportsbook). PropBetEdge also holds a pre-tip capture from Oct 7.

SpreadATL -2-110 Fanatics
Total170.5O -105 Fanatics
MoneylineNY +115ATL -125
Best prices across 10 books · propsports.proptechusa.ai · captured 5d ago · props: 12 players

Unknowns

How the market prices both teams on the next slate beyond the stored captures.

Evidence & methodology4 cited records · how this story was built

Records cited

  1. PropSports box score + play-by-play + shot locations · source ↗
  2. PropSports team schedules (records after the game, scoring entering it) · source ↗
  3. PropSports standings (standings as of Oct 7) · source ↗
  4. DraftKings line

How this story was built

Photo: BDZ Sports · CC BY-SA 4.0 (cropped)Pictured: Breanna Stewart.

Generated by PropBetEdge’s deterministic newsroom (wnba-articles/1.7.0 · Full story, wnba-depth/1.1.0) and checked by the publication gate before release; betting relevance: actionable.