Arike Ogunbowale
Photo: Lorie Shaull · CC BY-SA 4.0 (cropped) · Wikimedia CommonsPictured: Arike Ogunbowale
Performances

Arike Ogunbowale’s 45 points lead the Wings past the Valkyries in Game 2, 108–100

The Wings erased a 26–23 first-quarter deficit and finished with an 8-point win behind Arike Ogunbowale’s 45 points.

Game story

Arike Ogunbowale led the Wings with 45 points on 12-of-23 shooting (5-of-8 from three), 16-of-18 at the line in 42 minutes as the Dallas Wings beat the Golden State Valkyries 108–100 on Wednesday, September 30. Game 2 of the first round, and the best-of-three series is tied 1–1, with a deciding game to come.

Game Highlights

Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS | September 30, 2026

Official video · WNBA on YouTube · plays in YouTube’s privacy-enhanced mode when you press play · Watch on YouTube ↗

Who stood out

Arike Ogunbowale: 45 points on 12-of-23 shooting (5-of-8 from three), 16-of-18 at the line in 42 minutes, a +2 in her minutes. By the observed shot locations, 4-of-7 in the paint outside the restricted area, 5-of-7 from above the break and 3-of-5 at the rim. She entered averaging 15.3 points this season; this finish was 29.7 above that mark. She had averaged 17.4 over her previous 10, putting this game 27.6 above that recent pace; that recent average was already 2.1 above her season mark.

Gabby Williams: 36 points and 7 assists on 12-of-23 shooting (5-of-12 from three), 7-of-7 at the line in 37 minutes, a -9 in her minutes. By the observed shot locations, 5-of-12 from above the break, 3-of-5 in the paint outside the restricted area and 2-of-4 from midrange. She entered averaging 14.5 points this season; this finish was 21.6 above that mark. She had averaged 13 over her previous 10, putting this game 23 above that recent pace.

Arike Ogunbowale: Game 2 against her baselines

This game · her last 10 before it · her regular season entering it

Baselines are her regular-season games before this one (PropSports game log). Playoff games are never mixed into them.

PropSports box score (game 401918020) and PropSports game log values as of Oct 1, 2026 payload f6e4a904d5418d80

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values shown in this figure
Game 2 · 1 gameLast 10 · 10 GSeason · 44 G
Points4517.415.3
Rebounds733
Assists43.83.3
Minutes423130.1

Arike Ogunbowale's WinBA Score

No. 41 on the board of Oct 2

65.1WinBA Score
Production percentile 65.1

45% of the score

Win rate 61.4%

25% of the score

Winning-output share 64.6%

20% of the score

Court share 75.2%

10% of the score

WinBA measures the regular season. This board is dated Oct 2 and does not include any playoff game.

PropBetEdge WinBA Score board (winba/1.0.1) values as of Oct 1, 2026 payload 9765f5ef664e3814

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen component values plotted in this figure
ComponentValueWeight
Production percentile 65.1 45%
Win rate 61.4% 25%
Winning-output share 64.6% 20%
Court share 75.2% 10%

How it happened

It did not start that way: the Valkyries led 26–23 after one quarter and by as many as 8. The second quarter was the swing — the Wings won it 27–19 — and they led 50–45 at halftime. The game had 15 lead changes; the Wings’ largest lead was 8.

The Wings’ bench outscored the Valkyries’, 39–35. For the Valkyries, Gabby Williams scored 36 (12-of-23) and Kaila Charles 14 (5-of-7).

The Wings made 32-64 from the field (50%) and 12-23 from three; the Valkyries 34-73 (47%). Turnovers ran 13–12, and points off turnovers 13–16 in the Valkyries’ favor — the margin came from shooting, not possession control. Rebounds went 29–29, points in the paint 34–32.

Scoring by quarter

Wings 108, Valkyries 100 · Game 2

Margin = Wings points minus Valkyries points in each period. The largest margin was the Q2 (+8).

PropSports box score and linescore (game 401918020) values as of Oct 1, 2026 payload fae31a15be8735ee

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values plotted in this figure (points)
WingsValkyriesMargin
Q12326-3
Q22719+8
Q32229-7
Q42119+2
OT157+8

What it means

A reason to be cautious about carrying this game forward: Arike Ogunbowale’s previous-10 average (17.4) already sat 2.1 above her season mark, so against recent form the game is a smaller outlier than the season averages make it look; the Wings gave up more points off turnovers than they scored, 16–13. One game is still one game.

The Wings came into the series as the No. 7 seed and the Valkyries as the No. 2; the lower seed has the early edge.

This did not come against one of the league’s softest defenses: the Valkyries allow 75.1 points a game (standings as of Oct 2), 15th-most of 15.

First Round series

Series tied 1–1

Each final game of the best-of-3 series through this one, from the Wings side; the number is the final margin.

PropBetEdge playoff bracket (final scores) values as of Oct 1, 2026 payload d7e0537c601d1682

Show the numbers in this figure
Game-by-game results shown in this figure
TeamGameResultValue
WingsGame 1 at GS (104–80)L-24
WingsGame 2 vs GS (108–100)W+8
PropBetEdge Intelligence

Betting relevance

On the spread: DraftKings’ line, had the Valkyries favored by 4.5; the 8-point margin put the Wings on the right side of the spread.

The 208 combined points went over the 157.5 total.

Arike Ogunbowale (45 points against 15.3 entering the game and 17.4 over her previous 10) and Gabby Williams (36 points against 14.5 entering the game and 13 over her previous 10) are the lines the next prop market has to price.

Markets touched: Spread · Total · Moneyline

Market evidence

Market reference: DraftKings (a single sportsbook). PropBetEdge also holds a pre-tip capture from Sep 30.

SpreadDAL +4.5-105 Bovada
Total156.5O -110 FanDuel
MoneylineGS -180DAL +170
Best prices across 10 books · propsports.proptechusa.ai · last pre-tip capture 12d ago · STALE

Unknowns

How the market prices both teams on the next slate beyond the stored captures.

Whether the next posted prop lines adjust to these performances.

Evidence & methodology4 cited records · how this story was built

Records cited

  1. PropSports box score + play-by-play + shot locations · source ↗
  2. PropSports team schedules (records after the game, scoring entering it) · source ↗
  3. PropSports standings (standings as of Oct 2) · source ↗
  4. DraftKings line

How this story was built

Photo: Lorie Shaull · CC BY-SA 4.0 (cropped)Pictured: Arike Ogunbowale.

Generated by PropBetEdge’s deterministic newsroom (wnba-articles/1.7.0 · Full story, wnba-depth/1.1.0) and checked by the publication gate before release; betting relevance: actionable.

Revisions

  • · Updated with new source data