Liberty at Lynx: injuries, recent form and the matchup

Game outlook

The Minnesota Lynx host the New York Liberty on Thursday, October 1 at Target Center. The first market snapshot is not posted yet, so the early read is form, scoring, rest and availability.

Availability

The observed injury report lists two Liberty players. Out long-term: Satou Sabally (Out, out for the season; feed updated Sep 29) and Elizabeth Balogun (Out; the observed estimated return date May 1, 2027; feed updated Sep 22).

The observed injury report lists two Lynx players. Out long-term: Elena Buenavida (Out; the observed estimated return date May 1, 2027; feed updated Sep 24). Listed with the observed estimated return date of October 1, the day of this game: Anastasiia Olairi Kosu (Out; feed updated Sep 28) — the observed estimates, not confirmations.

How they match up

Over the full season the Liberty (26-18) score 89.6 points a game and allow 86.4, a +3.2 differential; the Lynx (33-11) score 90.8 and allow 83.7, +7.1. The Liberty are 12-10 on the road; the Lynx are 15-7 at home.

Pace is close — an estimated 81.9 possessions a game for the Liberty, 81.7 for the Lynx — so the scoring gap is efficiency, not pace: the Liberty score about 109.4 points per 100 possessions, the Lynx 111.2 (points per game divided by estimated possessions).

The Liberty shoot 46% and hold opponents to 44.8%; the Lynx shoot 47.7% and allow 43.5%. On the glass the Liberty are +4 a game and the Lynx +1.3 a game (season team stats).

Recent form adds to that picture: the Liberty are 6-4 over their last 10 with a +5.2 average margin, the Lynx 4-6 at -3.2. The Liberty’s worst result in that stretch was a 79–60 loss at home to the Valkyries on August 27. The Lynx’s was 96–77 at the Fever on September 22.

Rest does not separate them: the Liberty come in on 1 days of rest after their last game on September 29, the Lynx on 1 days after September 29 (PropSports schedule, whole days between tips).

Season series: NY wins series 2-1: the Liberty won 93–81 in Minnesota on September 18; the Lynx won 90–85 at home on July 11; the Liberty won 99–86 at home on July 3.

The line

No market snapshot exists for this game yet. Snapshots run at 8:00 a.m., 1:00 p.m. and 6:00 p.m. ET.

Before tip

The observed estimated return date for Anastasiia Olairi Kosu is game day (feed updated Sep 28); none is a confirmation, and each confirmed return or scratch changes the rotation described above.

Player props enter the board inside 36 hours of tip, which is usually where a minutes change becomes visible first.