Breanna Stewart
Photo: BDZ Sports · CC BY-SA 4.0 (cropped) · Wikimedia CommonsPictured: Breanna Stewart
Performances

Breanna Stewart’s 34 points lead the Liberty past the Lynx in Game 1, 91–75

Breanna Stewart set the pace with 34 points in a 16-point Liberty win.

Game story

Breanna Stewart led the Liberty with 34 points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists on 11-of-18 shooting (2-of-3 from three), 10-of-12 at the line in 38 minutes as the New York Liberty beat the Minnesota Lynx 91–75 on Sunday, September 27. Game 1 of the first round: the Liberty lead the best-of-three series 1–0 and are one win from advancing, while the Lynx now face elimination.

Game Highlights

New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx | FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS | September 27, 2026

Official video · WNBA on YouTube · plays in YouTube’s privacy-enhanced mode when you press play · Watch on YouTube ↗

Who stood out

Breanna Stewart: 34 points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists on 11-of-18 shooting (2-of-3 from three), 10-of-12 at the line in 38 minutes, a +17 in her minutes. By the observed shot locations, 6-of-7 at the rim, 2-of-5 in the paint outside the restricted area and 1-of-3 from midrange. She entered averaging 20.6 points this season; this finish was 13.4 above that mark. She had averaged 19.2 over her previous 10, putting this game 14.8 above that recent pace.

Breanna Stewart: Game 1 against her baselines

This game · her last 10 before it · her regular season entering it

Baselines are her regular-season games before this one (PropSports game log). Playoff games are never mixed into them.

PropSports box score (game 401918014) and PropSports game log values as of Sep 27, 2026 payload df8858c77586f023

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values shown in this figure
Game 1 · 1 gameLast 10 · 10 GSeason · 44 G
Points3419.220.6
Rebounds127.98.5
Assists63.73.4
Minutes3832.132.9

Breanna Stewart's WinBA Score

No. 9 on the board of Sep 27

79.0WinBA Score
Production percentile 95.4

45% of the score

Win rate 61.4%

25% of the score

Winning-output share 62.4%

20% of the score

Court share 82.3%

10% of the score

WinBA measures the regular season. This board is dated Sep 27 and does not include any playoff game.

PropBetEdge WinBA Score board (winba/1.0.1) values as of Sep 27, 2026 payload 244f83c0169730f6

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen component values plotted in this figure
ComponentValueWeight
Production percentile 95.4 45%
Win rate 61.4% 25%
Winning-output share 62.4% 20%
Court share 82.3% 10%

How it happened

The fourth quarter was the swing — the Liberty won it 26–15 — and the Lynx led 44–40 at halftime. The game had five lead changes; the Liberty’s largest lead was 19.

The Liberty won it with their starters: the Lynx’s bench outscored theirs, 21–13. For the Lynx, Nia Brodie scored 16 (6-of-7) and Kayla McBride 14 (5-of-12).

The Liberty made 31-61 from the field (51%) and 13-25 from three; the Lynx 28-67 (42%). Turnovers ran 21–13, and points off turnovers 18–24 in the Lynx’s favor — the margin came from shooting, not possession control. Rebounds went 38–23, points in the paint 30–22.

Scoring by quarter

Liberty 91, Lynx 75 · Game 1

Margin = Liberty points minus Lynx points in each period. The largest margin was the Q4 (+11).

PropSports box score and linescore (game 401918014) values as of Sep 27, 2026 payload 809848a8d6f05215

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values plotted in this figure (points)
LibertyLynxMargin
Q12518+7
Q21526-11
Q32516+9
Q42615+11

Where the game separated

The 5 team stats with the widest gaps

Selected by the size of each difference relative to a typical game-to-game gap for that stat. Descriptive, not a causal breakdown of the margin.

PropSports box score and linescore (game 401918014) values as of Sep 27, 2026 payload 65de30bf0575cb3d

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values shown in this figure
LibertyLynx
Turnovers2113
Rebounds3823
3-point %52%35%
Field goal %51%42%
Free throw %89%77%

What it means

A reason to be cautious about carrying this game forward: the Liberty gave up more points off turnovers than they scored, 24–18. One game is still one game.

The Liberty came into the series as the No. 8 seed and the Lynx as the No. 1; the lower seed has the early edge.

This did not come against one of the league’s softest defenses: the Lynx allow 83.7 points a game (standings as of Sep 29), 13th-most of 15.

Next up: Game 2, MIN at NY on Sep 29, where the market consensus has the Lynx favored over the Liberty by 3.5 with a total of 173.5 (PropBetEdge capture, Sep 29, 10 books) — and the Lynx allow 83.7 a game, 13th-most of 15. Player props enter the board inside 36 hours of tip.

PropBetEdge Intelligence

Betting relevance

On the spread: DraftKings’ line, had the Lynx favored by 6.5; the 16-point margin put the Liberty on the right side of the spread.

The 166 combined points went under the 175.5 total.

Breanna Stewart (34 points against 20.6 entering the game and 19.2 over her previous 10) is the line the next prop market has to price.

Markets touched: Spread · Total · Moneyline

Market evidence

Market reference: DraftKings (a single sportsbook). PropBetEdge also holds a pre-tip capture from Sep 27.

SpreadMIN -6.5-113 LowVig
Total174O -108 LowVig
MoneylineNY +230MIN -265
Best prices across 10 books · propsports.proptechusa.ai · last pre-tip capture Sep 27 · STALE

Unknowns

How the market prices both teams on the next slate beyond the stored captures.

Evidence & methodology4 cited records · how this story was built

Records cited

  1. PropSports box score + play-by-play + shot locations · source ↗
  2. PropSports team schedules (records after the game, scoring entering it) · source ↗
  3. PropSports standings (standings as of Sep 29) · source ↗
  4. DraftKings line

How this story was built

Photo: BDZ Sports · CC BY-SA 4.0 (cropped)Pictured: Breanna Stewart.

Generated by PropBetEdge’s deterministic newsroom (wnba-articles/1.7.0 · Full story, wnba-depth/1.1.0) and checked by the publication gate before release; betting relevance: actionable.

Revisions

  • · Updated with new source data
  • · Editorial quality upgrade (same facts)
  • · Updated with new source data
  • · Editorial quality upgrade (same facts)
  • · Updated with new source data