A'ja Wilson
Photo: Lorie Shaull from St Paul, United States · CC BY-SA 2.0 (cropped) · Wikimedia CommonsPictured: A'ja Wilson
Performances

A'ja Wilson’s 38 points lead the Aces past the Fever in Game 1, 102–85

A'ja Wilson set the pace with 38 points in a 17-point Aces win.

Game story

A'ja Wilson led the Aces with 38 points and 16 rebounds on 15-of-19 shooting (2-of-2 from three), 6-of-7 at the line in 35 minutes as the Las Vegas Aces beat the Indiana Fever 102–85 on Sunday, September 27. Game 1 of the first round: the Aces lead the best-of-three series 1–0 and are one win from advancing, while the Fever now face elimination.

Game Highlights

Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | FULL GAME HIGHLIGHTS | September 27, 2026

Official video · WNBA on YouTube · plays in YouTube’s privacy-enhanced mode when you press play · Watch on YouTube ↗

Who stood out

A'ja Wilson: 38 points and 16 rebounds on 15-of-19 shooting (2-of-2 from three), 6-of-7 at the line in 35 minutes, a +29 in her minutes. By the observed shot locations, 5-of-6 from midrange, 5-of-6 at the rim and 3-of-5 in the paint outside the restricted area. She entered averaging 25.8 points this season; this finish was 12.2 above that mark. She had averaged 25.9 over her previous 10, putting this game 12.1 above that recent pace.

A'ja Wilson: Game 1 against her baselines

This game · her last 10 before it · her regular season entering it

Baselines are her regular-season games before this one (PropSports game log). Playoff games are never mixed into them.

PropSports box score (game 401918015) and PropSports game log values as of Sep 27, 2026 payload 1cc9031ca5b5c284

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values shown in this figure
Game 1 · 1 gameLast 10 · 10 GSeason · 42 G
Points3825.925.8
Rebounds1689.2
Assists23.63.2
Minutes3531.631.6

A'ja Wilson's WinBA Score

No. 2 on the board of Sep 27

86.3WinBA Score
Production percentile 100.0

45% of the score

Win rate 73.8%

25% of the score

Winning-output share 75.0%

20% of the score

Court share 79.0%

10% of the score

WinBA measures the regular season. This board is dated Sep 27 and does not include any playoff game.

PropBetEdge WinBA Score board (winba/1.0.1) values as of Sep 27, 2026 payload 85e3786b72be9d1d

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen component values plotted in this figure
ComponentValueWeight
Production percentile 100.0 45%
Win rate 73.8% 25%
Winning-output share 75.0% 20%
Court share 79.0% 10%

How it happened

The second quarter was the swing — the Aces won it 35–24 — and they led 62–47 at halftime. The game had five lead changes; the Aces’ largest lead was 27.

The Aces won it with their starters: the Fever’s bench outscored theirs, 33–21. For the Fever, Aliyah Boston scored 18 (7-of-12) and Caitlin Clark 15 (6-of-17).

The Aces made 38-64 from the field (59%) and 9-19 from three; the Fever 30-67 (45%). Turnovers ran 17–17, and points off turnovers 18–28 in the Fever’s favor — the margin came from shooting, not possession control. Rebounds went 31–24, points in the paint 34–36.

Scoring by quarter

Aces 102, Fever 85 · Game 1

Margin = Aces points minus Fever points in each period. The largest margin was the Q2 (+11).

PropSports box score and linescore (game 401918015) values as of Sep 27, 2026 payload c4810dd808b17d60

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values plotted in this figure (points)
AcesFeverMargin
Q12723+4
Q23524+11
Q32418+6
Q41620-4

Where the game separated

The 5 team stats with the widest gaps

Selected by the size of each difference relative to a typical game-to-game gap for that stat. Descriptive, not a causal breakdown of the margin.

PropSports box score and linescore (game 401918015) values as of Sep 27, 2026 payload 0fd5a4d2777aac37

Show the numbers in this figure
Frozen values shown in this figure
AcesFever
Field goal %59%45%
Points off turnovers1828
Bench points2133
Rebounds3124
3-point %47%39%

What it means

A reason to be cautious about carrying this game forward: the Aces gave up more points off turnovers than they scored, 28–18. One game is still one game.

The Aces came into the series as the No. 3 seed and the Fever as the No. 6; the higher seed held serve.

This did not come against one of the league’s softest defenses: the Fever allow 90.4 points a game (standings as of Sep 29), 5th-most of 15.

Next up: Game 2, LV at IND on Sep 29, where the market consensus has the Fever favored over the Aces by 1.5 with a total of 183.5 (PropBetEdge capture, Sep 29, 10 books) — and the Fever allow 90.4 a game, 5th-most of 15. Player props enter the board inside 36 hours of tip.

PropBetEdge Intelligence

Betting relevance

On the spread: DraftKings’ line, had the Aces favored by 4.5; the 17-point margin put the Aces on the right side of the spread.

The 187 combined points went over the 181.5 total.

A'ja Wilson (38 points against 25.8 entering the game and 25.9 over her previous 10) is the line the next prop market has to price.

Markets touched: Spread · Total · Moneyline

Market evidence

Market reference: DraftKings (a single sportsbook). PropBetEdge also holds a pre-tip capture from Sep 27.

SpreadLV -4-108 LowVig
Total181.5O -110 Fanatics
MoneylineIND +161LV -170
Best prices across 10 books · propsports.proptechusa.ai · last pre-tip capture Sep 27 · STALE

Unknowns

How the market prices both teams on the next slate beyond the stored captures.

Evidence & methodology4 cited records · how this story was built

Records cited

  1. PropSports box score + play-by-play + shot locations · source ↗
  2. PropSports team schedules (records after the game, scoring entering it) · source ↗
  3. PropSports standings (standings as of Sep 29) · source ↗
  4. DraftKings line

How this story was built

Photo: Lorie Shaull from St Paul, United States · CC BY-SA 2.0 (cropped)Pictured: A'ja Wilson.

Generated by PropBetEdge’s deterministic newsroom (wnba-articles/1.7.0 · Full story, wnba-depth/1.1.0) and checked by the publication gate before release; betting relevance: actionable.

Revisions

  • · Updated with new source data
  • · Editorial quality upgrade (same facts)
  • · Updated with new source data
  • · Editorial quality upgrade (same facts)
  • · Updated with new source data